Modified Duration Zero Coupon Bond Modified Duration Formula

what is modified duration

The Macaulay duration and the modified duration are both essential measures of bond duration that provide valuable information to investors. While they may seem similar, they differ in their calculation and interpretation. Investors should carefully consider both measures when making investment decisions to minimize risk and maximize returns. It is measured in years and represents the time it takes for the investor to receive the cash flows of the bond, taking into account the present value of each cash flow and the bond’s price.

Modified DurationThe sensitivity of the value of a security to changes in interest rates

  1. Indices are unmanaged and investors cannot directly invest in them.
  2. The name BPV (basis point value) or Bloomberg “Risk” is also used, often applied to the dollar change for a $100 notional for 100bp change in yields – giving the same units as duration.
  3. Modified duration is a bond’s price sensitivity to changes in interest rates, which takes the Macaulay duration and adjusts it for the bond’s yield to maturity (YTM).
  4. The difference between the two modified durations is the modified duration of the interest rate swap.
  5. Income from municipal bonds can be declared taxable because of unfavorable changes in tax laws, adverse interpretations by the IRS or state tax authorities, or noncompliant conduct of a bond issuer.
  6. In reality, this relationship may not be perfectly linear, especially for bonds with longer maturities or lower credit ratings.
  7. This formula is used to determine the effect that a 100-basis-point (1%) change in interest rates will have on the price of a bond.

There are other variations of dollar duration that market participants tend to use. Not surprisingly, a bond with a longer remaining term to maturity will have a longer duration. This makes intuitive sense using our see-saw as a longer bond would require moving the fulcrum further to the right, increasing the Macaulay duration. By adding up the present values of each of the three years, we get to a sum of $102.78, which is the bond’s price. When continuously compounded, the modified duration is equal to the Macaulay duration.

If we look at coupon payments of a fixed-rate bond, we can also see how two similar bonds with different coupon rates can have different duration measures. As an example, a $1,000 bond that can be redeemed by the holder at par at any time before the bond’s maturity (i.e. an American put option). No matter how high interest rates become, the price of the bond will never go below $1,000 (ignoring counterparty risk).

What is modified duration?

Can OAS be negative?

Since non-callable bonds do not have an embedded call option, the OAS value should approximate the abso- lute yield spread for a non-callable bond. OAS values can be positive or negative.

Modified duration tells you the percentage change in price, but traders are interested in knowing how much the dollar price changes as yields move. Using the formula above, let’s calculate the Macaulay duration for a hypothetical three-year bond. We begin by calculating the present values of the cash flows from each of the three years. This definition of “pure” duration was introduced by Canadian economist Frederick Macaulay.

What is the Macaulay Duration?

  1. Modified duration is an unfamiliar term for many investors, but the underlying idea probably isn’t.
  2. Modified duration can help investors and portfolio managers make more informed decisions about bond investments.
  3. On other hand, the price of the bond will decrease by 3.55% for every 1% increase in the interest rate.
  4. For example, if a bond has a modified duration of 5, it means that for every 1% increase in interest rates, the bond’s price will decrease by 5%.
  5. You can also find online calculators that can help you calculate both Macaulay and modified durations.

For example, if n is 1, it means that the bond pays interest annually. If n is 2, it means the bond pays interest twice every year, usually semi-annually. Modified and Macaulay Durations are two popular methods used in finance to measure the sensitivity of fixed-income securities to changes in interest rates. While these methods are valuable tools, they do have some limitations worth considering.

what is modified duration

Modified duration is a bond’s price sensitivity to changes in interest rates, which takes the Macaulay duration and adjusts it for the bond’s yield to maturity (YTM). Macaulay duration what is modified duration is the is the weighted average term to maturity of the cash flows from a bond. Modified duration is a formula that expresses the measurable change in the value of a security in response to a change in interest rates.

For a standard bond, the Macaulay duration will be between 0 and the maturity of the bond. It is equal to the maturity if and only if the bond is a zero-coupon bond. Modified duration is a concept that can be intimidating at first, but with a little explanation and practice, it’s easy to understand. Remember, the key takeaway is that modified duration is a measure of how much a bond’s price will change in response to changes in interest rates.

what is modified duration

This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities. Income from municipal bonds can be declared taxable because of unfavorable changes in tax laws, adverse interpretations by the IRS or state tax authorities, or noncompliant conduct of a bond issuer. Alternatively, we could consider $100 notional of each of the instruments. In this case the BPV or DV01 (dollar value of an 01 or dollar duration) is the more natural measure. The BPV in the table is the dollar change in price for $100 notional for 100bp change in yields.

Why does modified duration decrease?

A longer Macaulay Duration implies a lower interest rate and vice versa. On the other hand, Modified Duration decreases with a decrease in maturity and a rise in interest rate.

Where the division by 100 is because modified duration is the percentage change. While the underlying idea behind modified duration is simple, the calculation of the measure isn’t as straightforward as you might like. The good news is that there are tools that make calculating modified duration easier. Below, we’ll explain in more detail exactly what modified duration is, how to calculate it, and provide an example of how to use it. We’ll also discuss why modified duration is important for investors. Let’s say that a 3-year annual payment bond of $3,000 has a Macaulay duration of 2.73 years.

No assurances can be made that any such estimate, target or projection will be accurate; actual results may differ substantially. Founded in 1993, The Motley Fool is a financial services company dedicated to making the world smarter, happier, and richer.

Is modified duration positive or negative?

The price-yield relationship is negatively correlated; when prices go down, the implied yield goes up. The minus sign allows the modified duration to be positive for a normal bond.

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